BMW Replace: November 2018 U.S. Plug-In EV Gross sales Report Card

November U.S. plug-in EV gross sales will climb once more, however how excessive?

November 2018 will mark the 38th month of consecutive year-over-year month-to-month gross sales positive aspects for plug-in automobiles.

Every month InsideEVs tracks all plug-in EV gross sales/deliveries for the US by automaker. The final 4 consecutive months are actually the highest 4 best-selling months of all time. As well as, March 2018 completes the listing, which means all 5 prime months have occurred this 12 months. We've got little question November will make the listing, however the place will it slot in? Is there an opportunity it might shoot to the highest?

September’s outcomes will probably be powerful to beat because it’s up to now forward of the others. Maybe we’ll have to attend for December U.S. EV gross sales to crown a brand new champion? However, that doesn’t imply that November gross sales gained’t be top-notch!

How a couple of deep dive into our estimates and methodology?

Prime Months for U.S. EV Gross sales to Date (estimated):

  1. September 2018 – 45,589
  2. November 2018 – 42,096 and counting!
  3. August 2018 – 36,380
  4. October 2018 – 34,094
  5. July 2018 – 29,514

As of the tip of October 2018, an estimated 268,729 plug-in electrical automobiles had been bought within the U.S. this 12 months. We’re two-thirds of the way in which via the ultimate quarter earlier than the record-setting 12 months goes into the archives. There’s an opportunity we might even see over 350ok EV deliveries within the U.S. in 2018 by the point the 12 months involves an finish.

Examine Out: Contributor Josh Bryant’s 2018 yearly gross sales predictions right here

In November 2017, an estimated 17,178 plug-ins had been bought in the US. In each September and October 2018, we noticed effectively over 100-percent positive aspects from final 12 months’s numbers. Will November be one other repeat of this pattern?  Will we see deliveries move 34,500? There’s little doubt that this will probably be achieved. Over 34,000 EVs had been bought within the U.S. in October, and November numbers are traditionally higher. We predict the month will simply see over 40,000 electrical automobiles delivered on our shores.

In September, we noticed a monumental effort by Tesla to get as many Mannequin three sedans as attainable delivered for the reason that automaker was working diligently to indicate a revenue. As well as, U.S. Mannequin S and Mannequin X gross sales had been stable. For the month of October, the Mannequin three push wasn’t as vital, and being that it was the primary month of a brand new quarter, Mannequin S and Mannequin X gross sales had been decrease, as anticipated.

Quick ahead to November and it appears there’s a distinct story to inform. Needless to say Tesla can also be delivering Mannequin three automobiles to Canada. Additionally do not forget that many Mannequin S and X automobiles (as many as 50 %) had been delivered exterior the U.S. final month. Nonetheless, Tesla Mannequin three, S, and X gross sales are excellent primarily based on our analysis and information.

Based on our estimates, Tesla bought a unbelievable 2,750 Mannequin S sedans and three,200 Mannequin X crossovers within the U.S. in November.

Our analysis and information places November Mannequin three deliveries at 18,650 within the U.S.

Since GM has determined to discontinue month-to-month gross sales reporting, we offer you estimates every month after which reconcile (if wanted) on the finish of every quarter. We’re glad to report that our analysis has confirmed profitable and our month-to-month numbers have been fairly stable

Primarily based on our estimates, the automaker has kicked it means up this November. It appears Chevrolet Volt gross sales have set an all-time document at three,930 delivered in November. Earlier to this report, the Volt’s greatest month was December 2016, with three,691 bought.

Whereas Bolt EV gross sales didn’t soar as excessive — primarily based on our analysis and information — Chevrolet delivered an estimated three,zero25 this November, which isn't too removed from its all-time excessive in December 2017 (three,227).

Nissan LEAF gross sales grew in August and escalated even additional in September. Nevertheless, October introduced a light downturn.

Shifting on to November, LEAF deliveries are down once more, at 1,128

The Toyota Prius Prime has made constructive strides in the previous few months, following a big drop in gross sales in June and July.

Based on Toyota, Prius Prime deliveries in November reached a powerful 2,312.

The Honda Readability Plug-in Hybrid hit a excessive level in Might (1,639). It additionally pulled fairly promising numbers for June, July, and August (about ~1,500 for 3 consecutive months). Nevertheless, September was the month that broke information for Honda’s new plug-in because it crossed the two,000-mark for the primary time. October continued that momentum, as our estimates pegged Readability Plug-In Hybrid gross sales a 1,935.

This November, Honda bought a complete of 1,903 Readability automobiles. Primarily based on our estimates, 1,857 of those had been of the plug-in hybrid selection.

Hold your self tuned in and refreshing the pages in the course of the coming days as we put the numbers to the dialogue.

Questions coming into November (with solutions in italics as they arrive in):

  1. Will Tesla Mannequin three U.S. deliveries rise or stay flat? (Up once more. Whereas not as excessive as the massive September push, we see Mannequin three gross sales up once more, at 18,650 within the U.S. this November.)
  2. How a lot was Tesla capable of ramp up U.S. Mannequin S and Mannequin X gross sales because of the upcoming expiration of the U.S. federal EV tax credit score? (Tons! Based on our estimates, Tesla bought 2,750 Mannequin S sedans and three,200 Mannequin X crossover within the U.S. in November.)
  3. Did the Toyota Prius Prime lastly make a big supply surge, or is 2,000 the brand new magic quantity? (Sure. Toyota upped its stock and reported Prius Prime deliveries at a powerful 2,312 for November.)
  4. What do our estimates reveal about Chevrolet Volt and Chevrolet Bolt EV gross sales, which appeared to utterly flip during the last two months? (GM wowed us this November. Based on our estimates, Chevrolet bought three,930 Volts and three,zero25 Bolt EVs.)
  5. Whereas not unimaginable, 2018 Nissan LEAF U.S. gross sales have been stable within the 1,200-1500 vary for eight straight months. Can the LEAF shut out 2018 with a couple of sturdy months? (Nope. LEAF gross sales had been down in October and have dropped once more for November. Nissan delivered 1,128 LEAF automobiles final month.)
  6. Honda Readability Plug-in Hybrid gross sales have been spectacular all 12 months, however particularly during the last two months. Can November deliveries set a document for the Readability? (Our estimates don’t counsel a brand new document, however a stable quantity nonetheless. Honda reported 1,903 Readability deliveries in November. We consider 1,857 had been plug-in hybrids.)
  7. So far as we perceive, Jaguar bought its first 5 I-Tempo automobiles within the U.S. in October. Will November present exponential gross sales development?
  8. Did GM cross the 200,000-mark in November? (Based on our estimates, it seems that’s the case, however we’ll look ahead to GM’s quarterly report back to confirm.)

Additionally of be aware this November:

  • Honda bought an estimated 9 Readability FCEVs.
  • Toyota delivered 194 Mirai gas cell automobiles.

Final replace: December 5, 2018 @ eight:35 AM ET

*Needless to say we use the phrases gross sales and deliveries synonymously. To ensure that a automobile to depend as SOLD, it needs to be paid in full (or leased) and be within the possession of the patron.

***InsideEVs’ journalist Wade Malone supplied in-depth, detailed, and closely researched gross sales estimations and associated evaluation.


(Earlier 12 months’s month-to-month outcomes may be discovered on our Historic Charts web page)

2018 Month-to-month Gross sales Chart

2018 U.S. EV SALES JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC TOTAL
Tesla Mannequin three*  1875 2485 3820 3750 6000 5902 14250 17800 22250 17750 18650 114,532
Toyota Prius Prime 1496 2050 2922 2626 2924 2237 1984 2071 2213 2001 2312 24,836
Tesla Mannequin S*  800 1125 3375 1250 1520 2750 1200 2625 3750 1350 2750 22,495
Tesla Mannequin X*  700 975 2825 1025 1450 2550 1325 2750 3975 1225 3200 22,000
Chevrolet Volt* 713 983 1782 1325 1675 1336 1475 1825 2129 1475 3930 18,648
Chevrolet Bolt EV*  1177 1424 1774 1275 1125 1083 1175 1225 1549 2075 3025 16,907
Honda Readability PHEV* 594 881 1061 1049 1639 1445 1440 1495 2028 1935 1857 15,424
Nissan LEAF  150 895 1500 1171 1576 1367 1149 1315 1563 1234 1128 13,zero48
BMW 530e* 224 413 689 518 729 942 536 749 756 733 1012 7,301
Ford Fusion Energi 640 794 782 742 740 604 522 396 480 453 1131 7,284
Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid** 375 450 480 425 650 710 450 654 637 623 895 6,349
BMW i3 (BEV + REx)  382 623 992 503 424 580 464 418 461 424 490 5,761
BMWX5 xDrive 40e* 261 596 627 563 499 321 431 264 225 224 213 four,224
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV 300 323 373 273 297 390 350 366 378 309 376 three,735
Kia Niro PHEV* 155 246 227 120 218 281 225 346 313 323 2,454
Audi A3 Sportback e-tron* 145 199 214 189 267 238 220 240 230 210 2,152
Fiat 500e**  210 235 285 215 250 225 220 75 94 100 148 2,zero57
BMW 330e* 101 142 202 166 150 138 106 192 195 229 373 1,994
Volvo XC60 PHEV* 109 155 167 141 214 226 185 210 215 180 1,802
Porsche Panamera E-Hybrid* 1 2 49 336 275 168 195 200 210 170 1,606
Mini Countryman SE PHEV* 127 100 74 106 163 211 210 128 140 117 74 1,450
Mercedes C350e* 29 172 208 158 166 176 165 170 82 75 1,401
Hyundai IONIQ PHEV* 22 178 218 180 217 143 180 43 11 128 1,320
Volkswagen e-Golf  178 198 164 128 76 32 18 32 14 62 230 1,132
Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV* 99 106 93 90 126 133 115 125 120 100 1,107
good ED  84 90 103 80 110 126 103 108 98 95 100 1,097
Honda Readability BEV*  203 104 48 52 37 126 120 75 122 116 37 1,040
Kia Soul EV*  115 163 157 152 133 57 130 33 18 61 1,019
Porsche Cayenne S-E* 113 121 197 265 59 12 15 45 60 25 912
Kia Optima PHEV* 86 103 156 142 98 83 90 39 17 51 865
Mercedes GLE 550e* 44 70 181 93 83 75 85 90 42 28 791
BMW i8 32 39 47 57 64 45 72 67 55 64 133 675
Ford C-Max Energi 234 142 105 57 18 6 four four 12 zero zero 582
Ford Focus Electrical  70 73 137 83 88 50 46 7 four zero 1 559
Hyundai Sonata PHEV* 52 54 78 38 67 62 60 20 15 5 451
Mercedes GLC 350e* 5 57 59 64 66 60 65 27 20 423
Volvo S90 T8 PHEV* 27 29 52 29 30 35 30 40 45 35 352
BMW 740e* 18 23 31 60 17 16 40 18 25 45 18 311
Hyundai IONIQ EV*  49 three 60 7 32 47 35 21 12 21 287
Cadillac CT6 PHEV* 6 24 17 42 30 18 26 23 11 12 13 222
Mercedes B250e  40 49 33 7 three zero zero 1 zero 1 zero 134
Mercedes S550e* 13 three 11 9 7 7 eight 10 eight 5 81
Jaguar I-Tempo*  5 5
2018 U.S. Gross sales Totals 12,zero49 16,845 26,373 19,556 24,310 25,019 29,514 36,380 44,589 34,094 42,096 310,825
2017 U.S. Gross sales Totals 11,004 12,375 18,542 13,367 16,596 17,zero46 15,540 16,514 21,242 14,315 17,178 26,107 199,826
2018 Worldwide Gross sales* 82,000 81,000 141,000 128,450 159,346 157,933 144,975 172,400 200,500 208,800 1,467,404

Above – 2018 Month-to-month Gross sales Chart For The Main Plug-In Automakers – *Estimated Gross sales Numbers – Reconciled on Month-to-month or Quarterly Totals, ** Estimated (Primarily based on State/Rebate Knowledge and different studies). BEV fashions are designated with the icon.

To view our Particular person Plug-In Mannequin Gross sales Recap For Main Fashions, click on right here. It incorporates a person run-down of every automobile’s month-to-month consequence and a few evaluation behind the numbers.